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Saturday, 23 June 2012

Spain v France

In my eyes neither team has been that impressive, although Spain have always seemed to have something in the back pocket if they needed to step up a gear.
Little unsure on the match odds with best prices of Spain 1.88, France 5.25, Draw 3.5. if you were to look at the stats Spain have not beaten France in their last 6 competitive tournament meetings. Coupled with the stat that since 1996 11 of the last 16 Euro quarter finals have finished under 2.5 goals and half of them under 1.5.
Spain do have a tried and tested front line who are all available, but France seem to be a bit more jelled this year. So it wouldn't surprise me to see Spain drift during the game.
A lot of pundits seem to be thinking the match is going to penalties and I think this would suit both sides.
4 of the last 6 matches have been 0 - 0 at half time, and I see no reason why a tight start wouldn't be the norm.
One of the dangers are that either team could close up shop if they score.

Personally I am going:
HT Score: back 0-0 @ 2.5 trade out/Lay for at least stake recovery at 1.5. Some insurance at Corals available if needed with goal 21- 30 at 7s and 31 - 40 at 8s.
CS: Backing 1-1 and laying Under 3.5, from the start, then backing whichever team scores first. May consider laying Under 2.5 if 0-0 at HT.

Looking forward to a decent game.

Good Luck






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