Wolfsburg v Mainz - Saturday 8th Feb 2014

Stinking hangover today, so a quick posting, will try and get something up later..

Starting Position
0-2 £2
1-1 £5
2-1 £5
2-2 £3
U1.5 £5

Borussia MGB v Leverkusen - Friday 6th Feb 2014

Friday night is the start of the weekend, and the weekend means sport. Tonight's game is from Germany, Gladbach take on Leverkusen.  The stats are pointing towards some goals, but I have taken a little insurance in case. BMG have seen O2.5 in the last 5 of their 6 games, while Leverkusen have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3.

Opening Position
0-2 £2
1-1 £5
2-0 £2
2-2 £5
U1.5 £5
Lay U 3.5 £15

Man City v Chelsea - Monday 3rd Feb 2014

One of the big games of the season tonight, that could have a bearing n the future home of the Premiership trophy. Chelsea will try to win, but I think Man City's fluid movement will come out on top. I think the Chelsea defence is too static and will struggle. Don't write Chelsea off if, they go behind they do have a habit of coming back. Definitely can't see this finishing 0-0, but stranger things have happened.

1-1 £5
1-2 £3
2-0 £4
2-2 £3
3-1 £4
AUQ £3
O3.5 £15

Dangers are 0-0/1-0/0-1 could look to add O2.5 as game progresses.

Sunday's Sports Trades, Backs & Lays

Saturday's trades worked out OK, even if the stats did go against us in some cases, but that does so the need for insurance. I mentioned Arsenal's signing of Kim Kallstrom yesterday, and it turns out that Wenger signed him with a known injury, which will sideline him for a minimum of 6 games - why? He already has enough injury concerns, European games coming up, and a tough run of games coming up which will have a say in the domestic season. looking forward to the WBA v Liverpool game, would be very suprised to see that fininsh 0-0, I understand that a few youngsters have travelled with the Liverpool squad, will they be given a run out, or just bench fillers?

If anybody knows what is going at Leeds can they give me a shout.  One minute the managers out, next he's back in, then the club say they don't need a manager, but want a coach. Either way perhaps they need to do it every weeks following Saturdays 5-1 victory.  And what about poor old Davie Moyes, can't even buy 3 points these days...

The rugby didn't really throw up any surprises, Wales are notoriously slow starters, and a the French did show up against the English. Today sees the Scots cross the water to Ireland, tactically I think Scotland will be better prepared, but  I fancy the Ireland skill level to see them through. Scotland need to sort a lot of things out regionally and behind the scenes before they become a force to reckoned with again.

Well done to the Davis Cup team, cracking result so far against the Americans, with only a win in one of today's games needed to progress. Does this mean good things for the future?  On the subject of our American cousins I understand that there is a little football game over there tonight, if I was looking at putting £2 on it would be on Seattle & Over 47.5pts

Today's trades are both weighted in favour of home wins, the early game is not built for a high score, but keep a close eye in case in runs riot. The Premiership game has the away team at very high odds, so using that as a bit of insurance, Palace are fighting for their lives and Arsenal aren't on the best of forms at the moment. The dangers here are a low score or a score draw.

The racing at Musselburgh looks pretty decent and I am 50/50 about actually gone down to watch, and lose some 'real' money, the goin has been changed to soft this morning so keep that in mind. A couple of decent races over at Punchestown as well. Selections below, but keep an eye to the conditions.

Value Lays <6.5
2.40 Punchestown - Thunder And Roses
2.50 Kempton - Olivers Mount
3.30 Musselburgh - Yorkist

EW Doubles
2.20 Kempton - Mahadee
2.30 Musselburgh - Space Ship
3.30 Musselburgh - Yorkist

Place Lay
5.20 Kempton - Safwaan

O2.5 Doubles
NEC Nijmegen  v Go Ahead Eagles
Sassuolo v  Verona
RKC Waalwijk  v PSV Eindhoven

Football Trades - Starting Positions

0-0 £3
0-2 £2
1-0 £4
1-1 £5
2-0 £3

Away Win £3
2-1 £5
3-0 £6
3-1 £5
U1.5 £5
Lay U4.5 £50

Saturday's Sports Trades

A good days sport ahead, especially with the 6 Nations kicking off, coupled with the transfer window closing last night.
What of the big signings?  Well there's the obvious one of Mata to Man Utd, possible appeasement signing or the start of the rebuilding process? Cardiff trying to improve their squad with 6 signings with the hope of staying up. It would appear that Arsenal have done some good business, especially with Kim Kallstrom -he was great on Champ Manager!! I see also Berbatov has been changing the euro again, good luck to him. A decent summary of the winners & losers here http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25868807 So lets get down to business for the rest of the season.

Today's games include Newcastle v Sunderland, the Tyneside derby, this would have been a stick on for Newcastle 2 weeks ago, but they have been hit by suspensions and injuries, just as the Mackems have found some fight and form, personally I still fancy a home win but a bit tighter than some people are promoting. A local derby with a lot of pride at stake.

Birmingham host Derby in the Championship. Brum are having problems getting a result, and you can virtually guarentee Derby will score when on the road (cue 0-0). Birmingham have history on their side, but I do fancy an away win from the side brimming with confidence.

In the evening we cross the channel where St Etienne take on Valenciennes. the home side have yet to concede at home, so the odds are definitely in favour of a home win. High scores are not expected but i will take a little insurance. Make be a chance to do some scalping as well.

In the rugby, I am surprised to see Wales shorten up again for the outright winner, the main challenge should come from England and the unpredictable French. Today sees them kick off against Italy, a game which will be difficult from the reds, but should allow the to set the benchmark for the rest of the season. As usual i will have a couple of quid on the spreads at the welsh hotshots.

Starting Positions
Newcastle v Sunderland
0-2 £2
1-0 £3
1-1 £ 5
2-2 £4
3-1 £3
O2.5 £20

Birmingham v Derby
0-3 £2
1-2 £4
1-3 £4
Lay Derby £15
Lay U3.5 £15

St Etienne v Valenciennes
0-0 £3
0-1 £2
2-0 £6
O2.5 £20

Spurs v Man City - 29th Jan 14

A difficult one to call, and the prospect of a decent game. Both teams need to go for the win, City to make some ground up on Arsenal, Spurs will want to ensure they stay in the hunt for 4th place. The stats are pointing towards a close game, however form points towards a City win, with goals. City do have trouble keeping a clean sheet when away from home. A high scoring game will be profitable, again very little insurance, you could put a couple of quid on U1.5, or you could look at scalping the 0-0.

Starting Position
0-3 £3
1-1 £4
1-2 £5
1-3 £3
2-2 £5
O3.5 £20

Swansea v Fulham - Tuesday 28th January 2014

A full house of premiership games over the next 2 nights with some teams looking to get back on track and sort out their league positions, whilst others will be looking to show off some of their new signings. I've gone for the Swansea v Fulham match. Both teams are on a poor run of form, with  Swansea finally getting a win in the cup on the weekend. Both sides have some injury concerns and both teams have issues with managers, one is still trying to settle in, whilst the other could well be on his way out the door by the summer. The onus really is on Swansea to go for the win, and al the bookies seem to think that this will be the case. With Fulham having such large odds, and also a lot of the 1st team were rested on Sunday, then a trade against the tide could be worth a look.

Starting Positions:
2-0 £3
2-2 £3
3-1 £4
AUQ £3
U1.5 £5
Lay O3.5 £15

Alternative View
2-0 £4
2-1 £5
2-2 £5
3-2 £3
Fulham £20