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Sunday, 26 August 2012

Sunday's Chosen Few

Well I hope you managed to get on yesterdays Ebor winner, Willing Foe, nice little winner at 12/1, a bit bigger on the exchanges.  I think the weather caught a few out yesterday, with the heavy showers messing up plans and causing a temp disturbance to the going. one f the lays got a little to high for my liking. And the footy trade came through nicely.  Enjoyed the cricket yesterday with the 2 underdogs making it through to the final.  a good game, a  nice green from some decent trading, went along with the trade run by the guys over at http://www.sportstradingedge.com very enjoyable.  Couple of interesting scores coming in from the premiership, with Swansea cracking on with another decent display, Chelsea carry on ploughing through, nice to see Torres coming back to his best. De Gea must be giving Fergie nightmares, but he needs to be careful he will cost them points.  Overall a good green day.

Sunday sees loads of footy on show from the continent, so may have a little dabble when the markets settle, Looking forward to Liverpool v Man City this afternoon bit of quality racing at the Curragh and Goodwood, bit of golf on as well.  Just up the road from me i can hear the drone of the British Touring cars, so am tempted to pop up and have a look, always a good day out. The wife seems to have some plans for me for housework, mmm we'll see... And if i do get bored i can always watch Celebrity Big Brother!!!

Interesting week ahead, we've already lost Cartmel tomorrow, and I looking at the forecast I think a few more will follow. This week also sees the closure of the transfer window; will Dempsey make it to Liverpool, can Spurs tempt anybody to join them, can Everton hold off selling any players, will Mancini get his new squad, and will Michael Owen ever kick a premiership ball again, lets see who has the biggest balls, and biggest bank balance.

Watch out for NRs messing up the cards today, and don't forget, 1s goal is stake recovery, then the winnings.

Backs
2.45 Goodwood - Commend
4.30 Goodwood - Geanie mac
5.30 Cork - Clara Bel La

EW Double
3.10 Curragh - Inexile
4.50 Yarmouth - The Ducking Stool

Lays
2.30 Yarmouth - Warden Bond
4.55 Curragh - Susiescott

Footy Trade
Stoke v Aresnal
Has the potential to be a tight game, Stoke can be hard to beat, and what fire power have arsenal got now RVP is away. looking to scalp 0-0/U1.5 for insurance. May look at 2-2 if over 30s

1-1 £5
0-2 £2
1-2 £3
U1.5 £5
O2.5 £20

Beverley Ratings:
1.50 Beverley Sunnyside Tom (IRE) 14% 4.05 Beverley Party Line 19%
Brocklebank (IRE) 11% Granston (IRE) 15%
Violent Velocity (IRE) 11% Carragold 13%
West End Lad 11% Tribal Myth (IRE) 12%
Muftarres (IRE) 10% Meetings Man (IRE) 11%
Fremen (USA) 9% Coax 10%
Eeny Mac (IRE) 8% High Five Society 7%
Byronic Hero 7% Maybeme 7%
Fathsta (IRE) 7% Pinotage 5%
Tislaam (IRE) 7%
Above Standard (IRE) 3% 4.40 Beverley Penang Pegasus 28%
Freda's Rose (IRE) 3% Kathleensluckylad (IRE) 19%
Benidorm 0% Mad For Fun (IRE) 16%
Lady Oz (IRE) 0% Bollin Tommy 8%
Yojojo (IRE) 8%
2.20 Beverley Mister Marcasite 26% Justine Time (IRE) 7%
Notional Demand 24% Mexican Wave 6%
Chant (IRE) 19% Hikma (USA) 4%
Grey Blue (IRE) 15% Champagne Valley 3%
Attansky (IRE) 7% Hawkino (IRE) 0%
Chloe's Image 2% Only A Round (IRE) 0%
Silk Scarf (IRE) 2% Medecis Mountain 0%
Star Of Broadway 2% Certainly Elusive (IRE) 0%
Sad But True (IRE) 2%
5.10 Beverley Aubrietia 20%
2.55 Beverley Shrimper Roo 24% Holy Angel (IRE) 18%
Dark Opal (IRE) 20% Made In The Shade 15%
Rhagori Aur 18% Koolgreycat (IRE) 11%
Lucky Lodge 10% First Fast Now (IRE) 11%
Sandsend (IRE) 10% Wake Up Sioux (IRE) 9%
Gold Beau (FR) 9% Dartrix 7%
Star Up In The Sky (USA) 5% Stans Deelyte 4%
Fantasy Invader (IRE) 3% Cataract 3%
Essexvale (IRE) 2%
3.30 Beverley Ypres 28%
Hadrians Rule (IRE) 18%
Emily Hall 14%
Maltease Ah 12%
Pavers Star 10%
Headstight (IRE) 10%
Not Bad For A Boy (IRE) 6%
Clubland (IRE) 3%
Majestic Angel (IRE) 0%



Saturday, 25 August 2012

Bring on Saturday...

So that's the footy season underway now in most countries, and how many of you got caught with the surprise results that were knocking about? Chelsea struggled with Reading, Liverpool made to pay heavily at WBA, Man Utd stifled by a decent looking Everton, and new boys Southampton nearly upsetting Man City.  On the continent PSG have still to start to repay for all their investments, and Barca & R Madrid threw up a few surprise goals.  And what a start from Swansea, and can somebody tell me if Chris Houghton & Mark Hughes slept well after last Saturday?

Just goes to prove why i should ot get involved too heavily at the beginning of each season, but temptation always plays its part, so I really need to improve on self discipline.  I got involved several times where I shouldn't of, and made some very silly mistakes, i kidded myself that the stats for a first match of the season meant the same as they do half way through!! Must stop kidding myself.

On the transfer front, there seems to be the smell of desperation starting to seep in, with the window coming to a close teams are not only starting their moves, but are also looking and starting to worry about their own players who may be targets. One of the surprise fees paid seem to be in Sunderland's case £14m for Steven Fletcher, money well spent, personally I think not. the Black Cats need to strengthen, another £12m spent on Adam Johnson, Louis Saha has signed, a lot of faith being shown in O'Neil by the board, will it come to fruition? Liverpool have secured the signing of Sahrin, good move and should compliment Roger's style of play. Fergie reckons he's finished spending, have the feeling we may see a few youngsters coming through this season. For me one of the questions is what will Man City do towards the end of the week, a few more million to be swapping hands before the market shuts, and will they pay the inflated prices that they will be quoted.  I read an interesting article in last weeks Times that highlighted the bargains that exist on the continent, and it does make you question the scouting make up of some of the bigger teams, was surprises to see how many good players appeared to be playing below their level in France.  If I find the link will post later.

As expected SA overturned England and took top spot in the ratings, well deserved in my eyes. England have the sniff of a team in need of an internal change, may be the KP incident highlighted some inner fragilities within the camp.  Today seems several T20 games.  Simple trade of laying both sides at 1.6 for me.

Last Sundays' selections proved a lot better that the poor Saturdays, and the ratings din't do too bad either throwing up winners in the top 2 at 8/1, 4/6, 5/2 may stay with this format and see how they go.

Backs:
2.15 Goodwood - Sky Lantern
3.40 York - Willing Foe

EW Double: (Watch for NR's)
1.45 Newmarket - Right Touch
5.40 Goodwood - Looks Like Rain

Lays:
4.00 Newmarket - Uprise
5.05 Goodwood - Ihfital ( Careful if ground softens)

Footy Trade
Espanyol v Zaragoza
Odds and stats seem a bit contradictory. danger here is 0-0 or a late 1-0/0-1
1-1 £5
0-2 £2
2-0 £3
O2.5 £25

Windsor Ratings
5.45 Windsor Choral Festival 20% 7.15 Windsor Fire Ship 29%
Abigails Angel 14% Nazreef 14%
Push Me (IRE) 12% Shifting Star (IRE) 11%
Bold Ring 11% Roayh (USA) 11%
Larkrise Star 9% Franco Is My Name 10%
Amelia May 9% Usain Colt 9%
Emmuska 7% Moon Pearl (USA) 7%
Feelthedifference 7% Attenborough (USA) 5%
Classic Falcon (IRE) 6% Rocky Reef 4%
Berwin (IRE) 4%
7.45 Windsor Highland Duke (IRE) 22%
6.15 Windsor Vasily 37% Mons Calpe (IRE) 16%
Cameron Highland (IRE) 22% Mazij 16%
Goldoni (IRE) 15% Filun 12%
Roxy Flyer (IRE) 14% Quixote 8%
Songcraft (IRE) 12% Presto Volante (IRE) 7%
Langley 6%
6.45 Windsor Coupe de Ville (IRE) 25% Bright Abbey 4%
Grandeur (IRE) 19% Barachiel 4%
Rio De La Plata (USA) 17% Moose Moran (USA) 3%
Primevere (IRE) 16%
Tales Of Grimm (USA) 13%
Lay Time 10%

Sunday, 19 August 2012

Sunday's Reactions & Picks

Well what the feck happened yesterday? Goals going in everywhere, expect where I wanted them, horses losing everywhere, except where I wanted them to!!

A few shock results yesterday, and some interesting reactions, the reactions of the Liverpool fans made me smile; Shankly lost his first game to 4-0, so this must be the start of the new Shankly era. Really, get a grip, Liverpool had the chances to put the game out of sight, but didn't and got punished. My worry is that Rodgers doesn't see the need to change and that his way is the only way, he needs to be flexible.  in my Suarez is a play maker, not an outright striker/scorer. AVB got a view of what is ahead of him, again some good build up, but no teeth up front, and a defence not working together. Well done Newcastle, carrying on where they left off.  I have QPR on my list for relegation this year, and boy did they start off on that rack. I read Mark Hughes' comments this morning, and my initial reaction: P45 by Xmas. Other teams to struggle, Wigan, Fulham & Reading.  But hey its only day one, lets not too carried away. Hopefully sit down in the week and take another look at season end predictions.

The horses were a mixed bag, with the lays absolutely abysmal, not only did they win, they bloody well walked it, need to review selection methods.... ;-(   the backs did OK, managed at least stake retrieval. the Perth ratings came up OK, with the top 2 capturing winners at: 11/8, Evens, 5/1, as well as several runners up spots, so enough green made there with some in running trading. Let's see how they go later, I have put Southwell's ratings up for reference, remember still in development phase with these.

 Only a couple of meetings today, and already the NR's are appearing to take care.  The footy continues with new boys Southampton up against the champions at Maine Road, and the pensioners travelling up north to visit Wigan, easy City/Chelsea double at 2.08, or is the value to be had elsewhere? Up here in Scotland you've got the Dundee derby, should be a Utd win, more experienced squad should be challenging for top 3 this year. PSG are away at Ajaccio and need to pull their socks up after last weeks performance. Bordeaux will be a tough place for Rennes, but if Bordeaux score look to lay them off in the match odds, have a habit of drawing games.

Cricket still in the balance, and felt sorry for Johnny Bairstow yesterday, just lost a bit of concentration at a key time. Sticking with yesterdays moves, back SA and small saver on the draw.

What ever you do today, enjoy, the weather seems good, and Good Luck.

Back
5.20 Tramore - Dani Catalonia

EW Back
2.45 Pontefract - Lady Kashann (watch for market support)
5.15 Pontefract - Sleepy Blue Ocean

Lays
2.20 Tramore - Hangar Five
2.30 Southwell - Gunner Rose

Footy Trade
Dundee Derby
0-1 £2
1-0 £3
2-0 £4
1-1 £5
O2.5 £15
Danger here is 0-2, or game finishing 1-0, 0-0 would be a big turn up for the books. Possible top of )2.5 as game goes on, top up on other scores is required, 3-0 & AUQ seem a little low as well at the moment, so may edge with those later.

Southwell Ratings:
Probability Probability
2.00pm Ifonlyalfie 19% 4.00pm Latest Trend (IRE) 27%
Absolute Shambles 13% Bridlingtonbygones (IRE) 23%
Douglas 11% Robbie 19%
Bennys Well (IRE) 10% Ballybanks (IRE) 15%
Toulouse Express (IRE) 9% Tiradia (FR) 14%
Chandlers Cross (IRE) 9% I'm A Gangster (IRE) 2%
Amazing Valour (IRE) 8% How's D Strawboss (IRE) 0%
Grenoli (FR) 7% Special Boru (IRE) 0%
Von Galen (IRE) 6% Tennessee Bird 0%
Gallimaufry 3% Bremer Bay (IRE) 0%
Waldsee (GER) 3%
Prideus (IRE) 2% 4.40pm Father Shine (IRE) 18%
Ricardo's Chance 17%
2.30pm Shan Blue (IRE) 18% Lion On The Prowl (IRE) 17%
Gunner Rose 17% Rory Boy (USA) 13%
Zhukov (IRE) 13% Cuban Piece (IRE) 12%
Sadler's Star (GER) 9% The Good Guy (IRE) 9%
Ginger's Lad 9% Akbabend 8%
Phoenix Des Mottes (FR) 9% Liberate 7%
Saves Time (IRE) 7% Zerdiyan (IRE) 0%
Farmer Frank 7%
Cool Newport (IRE) 6% 5.00pm Frolic Along (IRE) 17%
Earl Grez (FR) 3% Pickworth (IRE) 15%
Tregaro (FR) 3% French Seventyfive 14%
King Mak 10%
3.00pm Rajnagan (IRE) 31% Ladyvie (FR) 8%
Apache Dawn 19% Ironical (IRE) 7%
Tri Nations (UAE) 18% Vinomore 7%
Jaffonnien (FR) 12% Phoenix Eye 6%
Venture To War (IRE) 9% Super Collider 6%
Do The Bookies 7% Harrys Whim 6%
A Beat So Far 2% Likearollingstone (IRE) 4%
Yellow Duke (FR) 2% Harry The Dash 0%
3.30pm Sansili 17%
Shoegazer (IRE) 17%
Ambrose Princess (IRE) 16%
Andhaar 12%
Tekthelot (IRE) 11%
Sainglend 10%
Cygnet 10%
Royal Riviera 6%
Monterrey (IRE) 2%


Saturday, 18 August 2012

New Season, Same Story?

So is that the summer gone now?  The Euros are over, the Olympics have passed with a flashes of gold and glory all around, Formula 1 is the middle of its mid season break, cricket is starting to slip again, jump racing is starting to warm up their charges and the domestic football finally kicks off again, what a great summer we have had....

The main focus of attention will be on the Premier league kick off today, personally its a bit too early for me to get involved heavily, usually wait until 5 or 6 games in before i get involved to normal staking.  Interesting year this year for a few teams. At the top will Man Utd really knock Man City off there spot, Fergie has been quietly been shuffling his pack, personally I wonder about his strength in depth. Man City haven't really spent big, yet, but they have settled the squad, Mancini knows where he stands, so no big panics coming from Maine Road. Chelsea, hmmm, I question the decision to keep Di Matteo as manager; does he have the experience and legs for a full hard season, where he is inexperienced the back bone of his team appear to be just over he hill and I think they may struggle.  Arsenal, always difficult to fathom, Wenger looks liking he's shipping them out quicker that water down the drain, but, like Fergie, you've got to trust a man of his knowledge and experience, fancy this to be his last season. Spurs, about to lose their key player and a new manager, personally I like AVB and thought he was hard done by at Chelsea, will they be top 4, I think top 6, lot of expectation at White Hart Lane. Another club with a new manager is Liverpool, I do not hide my support for Liverpool, and am interested to see how Rodgers is going to adapt to a big club and the expectations of him, he will be given time and he has handled himself well so far, and no unhappy noises coming from Mellwood at the moment, is he under pressure for a top 4 finish, he says not, but fans believe different. Other questions to be answered; were Newcastle a flash in the pan last year, can Everton ever deliver on there promise, has Lambert got the balls/ability to drag Villa out of the mire and put in a serious challenge? How will Swansea cope in season 2, Laudrup good player, but what of managerial ability?  Lots of questions to be answered, roll on 3.00pm.

Did anybody actually benefit from the midweek internationals?  If somebody could tell me the point of them I would be interested to hear.

Cricket is underway and the KP saga rattles on, sorry but I can't side with England and I'm going with a back of SA, with a small saver on the draw,

The horses see 9 meetings today, the bookies will be rubbing their hands, how many 7 runner races will we see......  the 2 big races are at Newbury and ripon, but the one that interests me is the Champion Summer Hurdle at Perth, good quality race, with some decent horses, small back on the McCain horse for me.  Keep a careful eye out for NR's today, which may upset the balance of the cards.  Also playing with a couple of ratings at the moment, and have included the latest version of the todays Perth's card. Lets see how they go.

Good Luck

Backs:
1.45 Ripon - Bachotheque
4.00 Ripon - Ashaadd
5.00 Doncaster - Gassin Golf

Lays:
1.35 Doncaster - First Class
2.40 Doncaster - Signor Sassi
4.35 Ripon- Intent

Place Lay:
5.30 Lingfield - Commandingpresence

EW Double:
5.20 Perth - Red Kingdom
7.30 Lingfield - Rockgoat
7.30 Lingfield - Moment in the Sun

Footy Trade:
Newcastle v Spurs
Early season so be careful, would be a turn up though if no goals in this one.
1-1 £5
2-1 £3
1-2 £3
03.5 £15
could look at scalping the U1.5/U2.5 markets for insurance.

Perth Ratings
Probability Probability
Perth 3.10 Hawkhill (IRE) 53% 4.45 Perth Ryton Runner (IRE) 20%
Cadore (IRE) 32% Raajih 19%
Lillioftheballet (IRE) 6% Red Riverman 17%
Solway Gent 5% Kellys Brow (IRE) 14%
Mobane Ali 2% Momkinzain (USA) 12%
Solway Dandy 2% Glaced Over 8%
Najlaa 0% Catch The Fire 7%
Nay Secret 4%
3.45 Perth Fog Patches (IRE) 40%
Definite All Star (IRE) 23% 5.20 Perth Red Kingdom (IRE) 19%
True Blue (IRE) 22% Bobowen (IRE) 15%
Eyre Apparent (IRE) 8% Pyracantha 14%
Ploopluck Bridge 7% Solway Bay 12%
Go Silver Bullet (FR) 11%
4.15 Perth Absinthe (IRE) 16% Tout Regulier 11%
Cool Baranca (GER) 13% My Moment (IRE) 10%
Kian's Delight 10% Kai Broon (IRE) 9%
Hunterview 9%
First In The Queue (IRE) 9% 5.50 Perth Glingerbank (IRE) 13%
Cause Of Causes (USA) 8% Quito Du Tresor (FR) 13%
Ultimate 8% Lord Redsgirth (IRE) 13%
Parson's Punch 8% Solway Sam 13%
Maoi Chinn Tire (IRE) 7% What A Steel (IRE) 11%
Smalib Monterg (FR) 6% Dj Milan (IRE) 10%
His Excellency (IRE) 5% Summer Soul (IRE) 8%
Wheyaye 7%
Red Hot Poker 5%
Livvy Inn (USA) 4%
Hunters Belt (IRE) 3%

Sunday, 12 August 2012

Magic Mo and Sunday's Picks

Just a quick note today, some good weather that should not be missed.  Anybody else going to get quickly tired of seeing the Mobot?  not me I think its great that new superstars/heroes have come to the fore, something of true value and hard work for kids to aspire too.  In my view they have shown the overpaid, soft centred footballers not only how to behave, but also the hard work, commitment and dedication that is needed to succeed. ts not about crying because you couldn't get another £5k a week, or because a big ugly defender stood in your way!! The Olympics may have had a bigger impact than some people may have realised.

Just heard as well that Sid Wadell sadly passed away last night, RIP pal, a very distinctive voice who made throwing bits of metal at a board exciting, will be missed.

Hit the bar several times yesterday with the horses, Taajub particularly disappointing, but stake+ recovered due to insurance placed in running,  and the football was a bit of a turn up for the books, but we had it covered, and the timing of the goals allowed enough other action to take place to enable a good enough green to be had.

Today sees a quieter day all round, racing is not the best quality and the football is still not in full flow. Watch the ground at the Curragh a bit of rain around there this morning. Charity shield will be the usual bore fest I would imagine? (Cue loads of goals!!) The first Edinburgh derby kicks off a 1230, struggling to see past Hearts winning this, a lot of Hibs fans very despondent at the moment and would be relived to come away with a2-0 defeat.

Backs:
2.15 Leicester - Flow
5.00  Folkestone - Sigurwana

EW Double
3.45 Leicester - Night and Dance
3.50 Curragh - Probably
4.45 Leicester - Divermenti

Lays:
3.45 Leicester - Kenyan Cat (half stakes)
5.15 Leicester - My Boy Ginger

Football:
AIK v Orebro
0-1 £2
1-1 £5
2-0 £3
O2.5 £15
Believe AIK should come away with the win, if they score first look to possible lay them in the match odds market for some cheap insurance. Use these scores as a springboard as the game progresses.

Good Luck

Saturday, 11 August 2012

Saturday's tips and picks

Well another week over with and another great week of sport and personal achievements. Don't know about about you but there is no way I expected the medal haul that GB have achieved. Hats off to them all. One of my favourite winners was the equestrian, to watch the horse and rider moving to the music in unison was brilliant you can see again at 2:26:30 on the BBC iPlayer  Horse & rider in unison

Today's events have already got underway with another 2 medals for GB in the kyaking. Tom Daley is underway competing for tonight's final, Mo Farrah goes for gold at 1930 in the 5000m, GB v Ireland in the boxing at 2045, the Excel will be rocking for that one. We've also got the last of the sailing down in Weymouth, some hockey, The modern pentathlon and finally is there another medal in the bag for Bolt in the 4 x 100m?  On top of that the football gets underway today with various leagues starting to kick off.

Trading on the football needs to be careful with no real history/styles of play to look at for the new season.  Look out for some short priced favourites who are still drawing at 55 - 60 mins, check the stats at BET365, and give consideration to Laying the Draw.

Horses see some decent races around the country, with quality to go with them, look for BOG at Bet 365 and watch the lays for NR's:

Backs
2.05 Ascot - Taajub
7.15 Lingfield - Lord of Leitrim

EW Doubles

3.35 Newmarket - Redressthebalance
4.45 Newmarket - Toptempo

8.15 Linfield - Edraaq
8.35 Ayr - Irish Girls Spirit

Lays
1.45 Haydock - Equitiana
2.00 Redcar - Dil Laney
3.45 Redcar - Joburg

Place Lay
3.50 Ascot - Fanrouge

Football trade
Paris SG v Lorient
2-0 £5
2-1 £4
3-0 £3
O3.5 £15
going against recent history,but based on end of season placings and close season activity, we should see goals. But this is France..... may look to take some insurance out U1.5/1-0/0-1 dependent on early action.

Good Luck

Sunday, 5 August 2012

Golden Picks for Sunday

There is not much I can say that could encapsulate yesterdays achievements by Team GB. Hats off to them, an exhilarating day that showed the creme de la creme. To single out any of the performances would not do justice to all of the winners, years of hard training coming to fruition on the day it mattered. John Inverdale seemed to manage to sum up a lot of what most of us were feeling when he said "Sometimes you love sport and some times you hate sport, but basically, you love it."

The overdosing of sport continues today, with Usain Bolt running tonight in the 100m final, Andy Murray has the chance for revenge on Roger Federer, I forecast some decent trading to be had. Ben Ainslie battles against the odds down in Weymouth to retain his no1 standing. Just before him there may be another gold when the dominate pairing of Percy & Simpson are in action.  Christine Ohuruogu also runs tonight, and we may be i with a shout in the women's triple jump starting at 1930. Other possible medals coming in the Gymnastics at 1540 and the even more cycling starting at 1000, who would bet against another cycling medal? Women s boxing also gets underway, not something I can say I follow, but lets get behind the team.  for something a bit more left field there is some water polo and handball, and women's basketball also on the go today.  Then in case you are bored there is always the cricket....Anybody got any aspirin!!!

Yesterdays was a nice green day,  horses were a bit of a mixed bag, with a particularly disappointing run from Ruwaiyan, giving far to much to do at the end, few words to the jockey from the trainer after that race I reckon. The lays all came in nicely just the backs lets us down. And what about Hamilton last night, once minute nice bright evening, next minute even the ducks are wearing rubber arm bands...

The footy trade done OK with a nice return available before HT, but yet again the ability,sorry lack of ability, of  British footballers in penalty shoot-outs came to the fore. Still I suppose it was a useful pre season work out for a lot of players.

Back if Market Supports
2.40 Newbury - Amralah
3.15 Newbury - Ceelo

EW Doubles - Watch for NRs
3.30 Cork - Croi An Or
3.50 Newbury - Magic Channel
5.30 Galway - Aegean Sky

Penalty Kick
6.00 Galway - Tasitiocht

Lays
2.20 Market Rasen - Tyrana
4.00 Market Rasen - Amazing King
4.55 Newbury - Rebecca Romero (if below 7/2)

Footy Trade
AIK v Kalmar
1-1 £5
1-2 £2
1-0 £4
2-0 £5
O2.5 £15
If Kalmar score first, get some cover on 2-0, would be very surprised to see this finish 0-0, may look to lay U2.5 at HT stats dependent

Good Luck

Saturday, 4 August 2012

Super Saturday Medal Hopes and Picks

Well I don't know about you but my expectations have been exceeded.  I said last week that I was concerned about the national pastime of building false expectations and then dwelling in the relevant defeat.  But some of this weeks performances have been astounding.  I love the fact that the non main stream sports have been picking up the medals, and giving the individuals their 15 minutes of fame, and a life long memory. The public should be applauded as well.  I enjoyed the opening ceremony, and the feel good factor that it installed, from there the public has picked up the baton and became the 12th man for all these athletes. I wondered whether some of the interviewees where being a bit cheesy when they mentioned the great crowd. But thinking about it the drive to not let everybody down, the encouragement given must squeeze every last ounce of effort out you.  And the ability to overcome any anxiety due to expectations makes the great sportsman.  A lot has been said about certain countries and the possibilities of drug cheats, but can somebody please tell me why anybody would even think about it with all the testing and technology available today?

Today sees all eyes on Jessica Ennis, can she get over the wobbles on her 2 weak events and fulfil the promise and expectations of being one of Team GB poster girls? Lets hope she is still at the top come the last event 2030 tonight.  Mo Farah gets under way at about 2115 in the 10000m final, moved to the USA to up his training regime, he has some high hopes. Helen Jenkins carries GB's hopes in the triathlon at 0900. The veledrome is back in full swing again with the team pursuit at 1000, be surprised to see a gold, but who knows the way that team are going. the rowing goes again at 0930, and there are some expectations of medals for the GB team today. For something different the worlds best female trampolinist completes at 1400, yes she's British. Then the women's tennis final is in the afternoon, and Stuart Pearce's side is back in action at 1930. we,ve also got Greg Rutherford in action in the long jump, and the sprinters get going with Usain Bolt and 'Blade Runner' Oscar Pistorius in their heats. So a bit of something for everyone.

On the horseracing side, apparently there as been a small get together at Goodwood, anybody notice? The highlight being one of the best horses of all time - Frankel, where will he go for the rest of the season, does Henry really know what he wants to do with him? Anyhow, is he really as good as Sea the Stars? happy to hear anybody's views.......  But some good class racing on today so let's enjoy.

No F1 this weekend, but glad I called Hamilton's win correct last weekend, sets up the remainder of the season nicely.  Interesting to see what changes the teams come back with after the break.

England seem to have another uphill battle against SA, but will the weather come to the rescue this time, again going to back the draw, with a small saver on SA.

Football gets under way fully up here in Scotland, and interesting to see what happens in light of the Rangers issue.  A few people believe financial collapse is inevitable, but personally I believe a natural levelling out will occur. Some people have Celtic as an automatic champion, but don't be surprised to see Hearts give them a run for their money. in my the season will pan as follows:
Celtic will win it, but query if they will walk it as much as some people think
Hearts have a new and experienced manager, who knows the club inside out, if he can deal with the mad banker he should do OK.
Dundee Utd have a settled team and no surprise to see them in  a cup final this year
Inverness Caley, seem to struggle at home ut have a great away record, should be solid in mid table.
Kilmarnock, according to a lot of reports they are a hair breathes away from administration, no strength in depth, going to struggle.
St Mirren, sold their soul to the supermarkets a couple of seasons ago and a few chickens coming home to roost, struggling financially, but could they benefit from Rangers demise on the supporter front?
Hibs, a selling club with what seems little ambition, but has a large fan base the first couple of results will set up their season, unsure if manager has a big club mentality. No surprise to see a change by Xmas.
Ross County, just promoted will fight with a young manager but expect to be fighting relegation.
Aberdeen have the grumpy old gits managing, but loads of experience will be a mid table team.
Dundee, falsely parachuted into the SPL, have a first division squad and a terrible record for poor decisions and money management. will be fighting relegation.
Motherwell, should do OK, used to working with little money, but have a decent manager no surprise to see  them going for a European placing.
Winners: Celtic
Runners up: Hearts/Dundee Utd
Relegation: Dundee/St Mirren
Bust/Administration: Kilmarnock/St Mirren

Back
3.15 Goodwood - Izzi Top
7.15 Hamilton - Sovereign Street

EW Double
1.45 Newmarket - Strictly Silca
5.10 Doncaster - Ruwaiyan

Lays
2.35 Newton Abbot - Present to You
3.25 Newmarket - Almagest
6.45 Hamilton - Elegant Girl

Place Lay
5.45 Doncaster - Pettochside

Football Trade
GBv South Korea
0-0 £4
1-1 £10
O2.5 £15
Market seems to say few goals, so insurance on 0-0, 1-1 gives options when a goal goes in. Ealy goals culd mess the market for a while so take care.

Good Luck