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Sunday 25 August 2013

Sunday's Winning Trades and Picks



Not a bad day yesterday, with the horses coming in well, and the football proving to be successful, if not after a bit of hard work.

Today sees the 2 Welsh teams in action in the Premiership. Cardiff will relish the visit of Man City and will look to contain, I think anything less than a 2 goal win will be seen as disappointing by City fans, and Cardiff squad will look on this game as part of their learning curve. there are some decent handicap prices around on this game if looking for a punt. Swansea travel up the M4 to Spurs in the later game, and a lot of people will be looking to see how Spurs progress with their new look squad.  I fancy a tight game, between 2 decent footballing sides. Both managers tactically aware and some good ball players in both sides. The odds on Swansea seem a bit high, so i may look at a lay of Spurs, with a view to trading out as the game goes on.

A quick word on Bale's transfer fee, for the same money Real Madrid are offering, they could provide over 21,500 bore holes in Africa, more than enough enough to supply one country with clean, fresh water. Some food for thought!!

Elsewhere the Italians get their season underway with a head of steam, one of the tighter games should be Lazio v Udinese, both sides fairly matched, Lazio have a great record on the opening day and hold the upper hand over their opponents on the head to Heads. Udinese though are on a run of 8 consecutive wins in Serie A, and have no trouble scoring against Lazio. One to watch and enjoy I reckon.

A quick word for my local team, Dunfermline Athletic, relegated last season due to a massive points deduction through going into administration, and currently under a transfer ban.  During the summer the club avoided liquidation through a fans buy out with the view of being turned into a community club. Due to the transfer ban they have squad of youngsters who are learning quickly. Yesterday was a great learning experience for them, down 4-2 with 15 minutes to go and fought back to win 4-5. Not good for the heart rate, but one of the joys f following a local club and understanding what it means to the local population who have fought so hard for its existence. I would be surprised to see them win the league, but they'll have a lot of fun trying.

Over in Belgium the F1 season resumes, the qualifying was hit by rain yesterday and showers are forecast again today. Ideally this should sit the Red Bull, but something appears not to be firing at the moment. Red Bull and Mercedes have locked out the front 2 rows, so I'm looking for some value elsewhere, and I believe Alonso and Raikkonen at 3s for a podium finish may be worth looking at, and may be a little £2 on Webber to win.  talk of Michelin coming in next season as the tyre provider is ding the rounds, but I would be surprised, the following season maybe.  too much testing and development has gone on by Pirelli and it would cost Bernie a fortune to swap providers this late in the season.

Anyway whichever way you go today, good luck.

Shorties Back
14:45 Goodwood Bee Jay Kay
16:30 Goodwood Penitent
17:35 Cork Martys Magic (IRE)

EW Doubles
16:05 Beverley Golden Future
17:00 Goodwood Bantam (IRE)
17:10 Beverley Amelia Jay
17:10 Beverley Chloes Dream (IRE)

Value Lays <6.5
15:05 Yarmouth Tevez
15:55 Goodwood Whinging Willie (IRE)
16:05 Beverley Bourbon (IRE)
17:30 Goodwood Beauty Pageant (IRE)
17:30 Goodwood Wooden King (IRE)

Footy Trades - Starting Positions
Utrecht v Alkmaar
lay U3.5 £25
0-3 £3
1-1 £5
1-2 £5
2-0 £2

Levante v Sevilla
Lay Sevilla £15
0-2 £3
1-2 £3.5
1-3 £2

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