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Saturday 6 October 2012

Saturday's Thoughts & Trades

I believe I owe the European golfers a great big apology, what a cracking Sunday, I mentioned that the team seemed to be lacking heart & fight, well i don't know where they found it from but bloody hell it came out in buckets last week.  Anybody else think that Kaymar would miss that putt on the 18th, I know I was watching from behind the couch. But well done guys, the next one is only a few miles from me so I might even try to go and watch in 2014.

A few good games of footy in the week, with plenty of goals spread around. Enjoyed the Liverpool game, and the passing and movement at times was good, but they have got to sort out the concentration and stop the stupid mistakes. And I've got to say it but what a how big a fud is Ashley Cole? An example of how and what young kids should not aspire to.

Hamilton finally made the move that was anticipated, and personally I think it is the wrong move.  Does this mean Button becomes the team No1, and does this extend his shelf life by a couple of years? Time will tell.  Perez is an exciting young driver, with a lot of 'balls' and seems to enjoy is racing, so will be interesting to see him next year in a reliable car. And its a finally a farewell to Schumacher, well he deserves all the plaudits he gets, love him or hate him he has been great for the sport, didn't always agree with his methods but hats off to his skill levels.  Looking forward to this weekends Grand Prix, Vettel has secured a strong pole but fancy button to push him all race

A cracking game of Rugby this afternoon with South Africa take on New Zealand, the Springbok are doing well in this tournament, but you can never write off the All Blacks, but are they as strong as they have been in the past? SA +6 on the handicap could be the value.  Wouldn't be surprised to see Argentina turn over the Aussies today either, Aussies not travelling to well, and may be some value in the handicaps with the Argies.

Full domestic card this weekend before the internationals next week, my local team Dunfermline are away to Falkirk, one of their great rivals, and what is worrying is that they are strong favourites. But the way they are playing its justified. Some value in the premiership could be Arsenal - Both Teams to Score - Yes, WBA - back O2.5 and back to win, backing and trading the HT draw at Wigan may also be worth looking at.  A few games below to keep an eye to with a view to possibly trading through.

I see there is another small race meeting on today, but this time over in France  the UK starts to close down the flat season, and watch for some going changes or false readings. Also be careful as the flat seasons come to a close with some trainers just wanting to get a run in for when one of their charges.


Backs
2.20 Fontwell - Meganisi
3.35 Ascot - Captain Raminus (watch for market support if the rain comes)
5.50 Wolves - Fathsa
7.20 Wolves - English Summer


Lays
2.30 Ascot - Songcraft
5.55 Redcar - Majestic Manannan

O2.5
Swansea v Reading
Southampton v Fulham
Crystal Palace v Burnley
BMG v Frankfurt
Hannover v Dortmund
Bastia v Troyes
Sochaux v Rennes
PSV v Breda

U2.5
Yeovil v Colchester
Wycombe v Torquay
Aldershot v Chesterfield

Home Win
Stevenage Borough
Southend
PSV

Away Win
Brighton
Cardiff
Tranmere Rovers
Swindon
Gillingham

Footy Trade
Lille v Ajacco. Sticking my neck out a little on this one, but do fancy the stats to come through.  The trade is weighted with Lille, but they have had trouble keeping a clean sheet this season, have yet to get going. Past meetings have presented a fair few goals, so watch the O3.5 & O4.5 markets. 2-1 gives us a decent pay day.  Watch the results coming through and trade each score to protect stake.
1-0 £5
2-0 £5
2-1 £3
O2.5 £25
Lay Lille £20

Good Luck

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